Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2003 - 2004 - 2005


These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Tony Krock 12 East Noble 16:03 #13  
2  Braxton Fritz 12 Northridge 16:05 #16  
3  Jaurice Dye 10 Elkhart Memorial 16:07 #20  
4  Randy Placencia 11 Garrett 16:12 #27  
5  Ken Collins 12 Northridge 16:16 #33  
6  Brett Mravec 12 Elkhart Memorial 16:23 #41  
7  Corey Koch 12 Lakeland 16:27 #46  
8  Bryce Matteson 12 Elkhart Memorial 16:28 #50  
9  Loren Spirito 10 Northridge 16:33 #63  
10  Joel Liechty 12 East Noble 16:36 #69  
11  Noe Campos 12 West Noble 16:39 #78  
12  Ladd Mercer 9 Northridge 16:42 #97  
13  Matt Hammersmith 11 Prairie Heights 16:43 #103  
14  Andy Williams 11 Northridge 16:44 #104  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Northridge Elkhart Central 232 #2  
2  Elkhart Memorial Elkhart Central 299 #11  
3  West Noble West Noble 393 #23  
4  East Noble West Noble 409 #24  
5  DeKalb West Noble 484 #34  



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Northridge 100.0% 1.1 35 18 84 87.3 11.5 1.2 0.1
Elkhart Memorial 100.0% 2.1 54 21 96 11.6 70.6 15.0 2.7 0.2
West Noble 100.0% 3.3 75 35 126 1.2 14.2 49.3 23.8 11.7
East Noble 100.0% 3.8 83 42 123 0.1 3.2 26.8 56.5 13.6
DeKalb 100.0% 4.7 103 50 145 0.6 7.9 17.0 74.5


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Tony Krock East Noble 16:03 100.0% 1.6 37.4 22.4 16.8 10.0 7.1 2.7 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1
Braxton Fritz Northridge 16:05 100.0% 1.9 26.4 25.1 20.7 13.2 6.7 3.8 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1
Jaurice Dye Elkhart Memorial 16:07 100.0% 2.3 22.1 22.7 19.4 15.5 10.8 4.9 2.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
Randy Placencia Garrett 16:12 100.0% 3.5 11.1 14.9 16.0 15.1 13.9 10.2 6.8 5.3 3.0 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Ken Collins Northridge 16:16 100.0% 4.3 1.7 9.0 13.6 19.8 18.2 12.2 9.9 7.6 3.1 2.8 1.5 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1
Brett Mravec Elkhart Memorial 16:23 100.0% 6.1 0.6 2.7 5.4 9.8 13.5 16.8 13.7 11.1 9.1 6.2 4.4 2.3 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
Corey Koch Lakeland 16:27 100.0% 7.4 0.7 1.7 3.2 6.4 8.3 12.0 13.2 13.4 9.6 9.5 6.8 5.4 3.6 1.9 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1
Bryce Matteson Elkhart Memorial 16:28 100.0% 7.7 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.0 7.2 12.6 15.4 11.7 11.6 8.9 7.6 5.9 4.4 2.5 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2
Loren Spirito Northridge 16:33 100.0% 9.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 4.8 7.6 9.8 12.0 13.8 12.2 11.1 7.8 6.1 4.7 3.4 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.3
Joel Liechty East Noble 16:36 100.0% 9.8 0.5 1.1 1.9 4.4 7.0 7.2 10.0 10.2 9.8 9.2 8.8 7.5 6.5 4.6 3.5 3.0 2.2 1.4 0.6
Noe Campos West Noble 16:39 100.0% 11.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.3 3.6 5.9 6.3 8.3 9.8 11.1 10.6 9.4 9.1 6.7 6.3 3.6 1.9 1.5 0.7
Ladd Mercer Northridge 16:42 100.0% 12.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.6 2.9 4.9 7.0 8.5 10.8 11.9 11.1 10.2 7.7 6.6 5.9 3.1 1.9 1.7
Matt Hammersmith Prairie Heights 16:43 99.1% 12.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 2.4 3.2 5.2 6.3 7.9 8.1 9.1 10.6 10.1 9.9 7.0 5.7 4.4 2.4 2.1
Andy Williams Northridge 16:44 100.0% 13.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.8 3.7 5.8 6.5 8.6 11.5 10.2 10.7 10.4 8.1 5.6 4.8 2.6 2.7